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Posted Mar 3, 2010 by Ira Kaufman
Updated Mar 3, 2010 at 10:14 AM
By IRA KAUFMAN
TAMPA—Let’s not overthink this thing.
An analysis of overtime games reveals that NFL teams which win the coin toss are now coming out on top more than 60 percent of the time. Yes, that’s a concern, but some of the remedies under consideration are worse than the problem.
The league doesn’t need to institute complicated rule changes involving alternate possessions, depending on whether a team that marches down the field immediately in OT kicks a FG or scores a TD.
The aim should be to tinker as little as possible in an effort to keep the same basic rules in force during regulation play and OT.
The simplest solution is to move the OT kickoff up five yards to the 35, insuring more touchbacks.
Coin-flip winners who know they will start out at their own 20 may think twice about whether to receive or kick off, especially if weather is a major factor. If you can choose a stiff 20-mph wind at your back, why not kick off and make a team drive at least 50 yards before entering reasonable FG range?
And if your opponent misses on a 47-yard try, you assume possession at your own 37.
With the OT kickoff now at the 30, virtually every team that wins the coin toss elects to receive, envisioning a good kick return.
This is not rocket science. In this case, less is more.
If the NFL is sincere about minimizing the impact of the coin toss on the outcome of OT games, move up the spot of the kickoff, increase strategy and give teams something to think about besides calling heads or tails.
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