Welcome to another update of my mock draft. I will post my final mock draft Friday night, April 27th, the night before the Draft.
(Note: I do not predict potential trades)
1. Oakland Raiders - JaMarcus Russell, QB, LSU - Obviously, Al Davis will be tempted to take Calvin Johnson, but unless the Raiders unload salary cap nightmare Randy Moss AND acquire a starting-calibur QB, Davis shouldn’t pass on Russell.
2. Detroit Lions - Brady Quinn, QB, Notre Dame - I still believe that this would be the best choice for the Lions if they stay at #2. Jon Kitna is not the answer for the Lions future (and maybe not even the present), and Quinn would be the best value here. I prefer Quinn to Russell, so I actually believe the Lions would be getting a steal here.
3. Cleveland Browns - Adrian Peterson, RB, Oklahoma - If both of the top QBs are gone, the Browns will go with Peterson, who is quite a swell consolation prize. The Browns have lacked a legitimate home-run threat at RB for some time now, and signing aging veteran Jamal Lewis to a one-year deal was obviously nothing more than a short term solution. After a year of splitting carries between the two, Cleveland would likely part ways with Lewis and hand the reigns to Peterson.
4. Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Calvin Johnson, WR, Georgia Tech - This would be a great situation for the Bucs, should CJ fall to #4. I don’t believe it would be worth it to trade up for him, but if he falls, the Bucs should waste no time making this pick. WR isn’t the biggest need on the team, but make no mistake, it is a need. With Joey Galloway aging, Michael Clayton’s inconsistency and injuries, and the lack of solid depth behind 2nd-year stud Maurice Stovall, Johnson would be a welcome addition.
5. Arizona Cardinals - Joe Thomas, OT, Wisconsin - This would be a dream come true for Arizona, who is desperately in need of a left tackle to anchor the offensive line. Thomas would be a great addition to an already explosive offensive attack, and would make life a lot easier on Edgerrin James.
6. Washington Redskins - Gaines Adams, DE, Clemson - The ‘Skins would be ecstatic if Adams fell to #6, after watching their dismal pass rush tally a franchise-low 19 sacks last season. Adams is a beast of a pass rusher, and has the bulk to play solid against the run.
7. Minnesota Vikings - LaRon Landry, S, LSU - The Vikings have a few different need areas, but there’s no better value here than Landry, who ran a blistering 4.35 40 at the Combine, and is the most complete safety in the draft.
8. Atlanta Falcons (from HOU) - Jamaal Anderson, DE, Arkansas - If Landry is off the board, the Falcons will likely be choosing between Anderson and Amobi Okoye. Anderson should end up being the pick, filling the void left behind by Patrick Kerney, who left via free agency. John Abraham’s durability issues make DE a greater need, as well.
9. Miami Dolphins - Levi Brown, OT, Penn State - This is a very likely scenario for the Dolphins, whose #1 need is cleary at OT. Brown isn’t at Joe Thomas’ level, but he’s certainly a stellar tackle who could start immediately.
10. Houston Texans (from ATL) - Amobi Okoye, DT, Louisville - The Texans stop Okoye’s fall here, and they couldn’t be happier. Houston definitely has bigger needs at CB and OT, but it would be too much to pass up a rising talent like Okoye, who has worked extremely hard in the off-season to slim down and has become even more explosive off the ball.
11. San Francisco 49ers - Adam Carriker, DE, Nebraska - The 49ers have many needs and could go in one of many different directions with this pick. If they stay at #12, there’s no WR worth reaching for after CJ, so they’ll likely move to the defensive side of the ball. Carriker is a massive player who excels both in run support and rushing the passer.
12. Buffalo Bills - Leon Hall, CB, Michigan - The loss of Nate Clements to free agency was devastating to the Bills, who have many needs, but none larger than the hole left behind by Clements. While Patrick Willis is still a strong possibility, Hall will be very hard to pass up.
13. St. Louis Rams - Alan Branch, DT, Michigan - Branch’s stock has been dropping as of late due to questions about his work ethic and motor. The Rams, however, could not afford to pass on Branch’s amazing talent if he falls to them at #12.
14. Carolina Panthers - Patrick Willis, LB, Mississippi - This would be a no-brainer pick for the Panthers, who need a replacement for the ailing Dan Morgan (concussions). Willis was a stellar performer in the SEC throughout his career, and could start immediately.
15. Pittsburgh Steelers - Lawrence Timmons, LB, Florida State - The Steelers will be making the switch from a 3-4 defense to the 3-4 “Tampa 2”, brought over by new head coach (and former Bucs’ secondary coach) Mike Tomlin. Speed is key in this defense, and Timmons fits the role of a fast, play-making linebacker.
16. Green Bay Packers - Marshawn Lynch, RB, California - This seems to be the most popluar pick across all draft circles. Lynch is an explosive runner who excels at catching the ball out of the backfield, which will no doubt please Brett Favre.
17. Jacksonville Jaguars - Reggie Nelson, S, Florida - Gator fans won’t have to travel far to see this standout safety play on Sundays. Nelson is a ball-hawking play-maker who would fill a huge need for the Jags.
18. Cincinnati Bengals - Darrelle Revis, CB, Pittsburgh - The Bengals have a few different needs, but corner is one of the larger ones. Revis has been shooting up draft boards like crazy lately, and could find himself even higher when Draft Day rolls around. Oh, and he hasn’t been arrested lately.
19. Tennessee Titans - Ted Ginn, Jr., WR, Ohio State - While I don’t agree with this pick (right position, but I have Dwayne Bowe, Dwayne Jarrett and Robert Meachem all ranked ahead of Ginn), the Titans seem to be smitten with Ginn. There’s no doubt that Ginn would be an explosive addition to an already young and dynamic offensive attack.
20. New York Giants - Paul Posluszny, LB, Penn State - The Giants definitely have a need at outside linebacker, and “Poz”, who left Penn State as the school’s all-time leading tackler, is a hard-working, instense player who relies on superb instincts to consistenly make plays.
21. Denver Broncos - Jarvis Moss, DE, Florida - The Broncos biggest need, by far, is at defensive end. They’re in luck, because this draft is especially deep at the position, so they should have their pick of the second-tier ends. Moss is an explosive pass rusher who might need to bul up a bit to become an every-down player.
22. Dallas Cowboys - Dwayne Bowe, WR, LSU - The Cowboys, like many teams, could go in a variety of different directions with this pick. The best value is at WR, however, and Bowe would be a great addition to an already solid receiving corps. Bowe has a great combination of size and speed and could quickly develop into a #1-quality receiver.
23. Kansas City Chiefs - Robert Meachem, WR, Tennessee - The Chiefs are still looking for a top #1 receiver, and Meachem could eventually develop into just that. He has had stellar off-season workouts and owns possibly the surest set of hands in the draft.
24. New England Patriots (from SEA) - Aaron Ross, DB, Texas - The Pats have the luxury of two first rounders this year, and will look to fill holes and add depth on defense. Ross is a versatile player who can play any spot in the secondary, while also possessing dangerous return skills.
25. New York Jets - Greg Olsen, TE, Miami (FL) - Olsen is the top TE in this year’s class, and is a very athletic target. Olsen has a background in basketball, similar to that of Chargers’ star Antonio Gates, which will make him even more attractive to potential NFL suitors.
26. Philadelphia Eagles - Michael Griffin, S, Texas - The Eagles have been looking for solid, consistent play from their safties for some time now, and Griffin would provide them with a quality, all-around talent who could start immediately.
27. New Orleans Saints - Chris Houston, CB, Arkansas - The Saints have a gaping hole in the secondary (if not two), and they should be able to find great value with this pick. Houston wowed scouts with his combine performance, and he shut down first-round receivers Dwayne Bowe, Robert Meachem and Dwayne Jarret last season.
28. New England Patriots - Jon Beason, LB, Miami (FL) - The Pats are getting very old at linebacker, and Beason has the size and ability to play both inside and outside in the 3-4 defense. Beason has great speed and pursuit skills, and is a solid tackler.
29. Baltimore Ravens - Joe Staley, OT, Central Michigan - This is definitely the biggest need for the Ravens who are still waiting to hear if Jonathan Ogden will return for next season. Staley would be a great pick even if Ogden returns for another season.
30. San Diego Chargers - Dwayne Jarrett, WR, USC - This pick just makes too much sense. The Chargers need a receiving threat opposite Gates, and Jarrett’s combination of size and athleticism could make this offense even more dangerous than it was last year. That’s scary.
31. Chicago Bears - Ben Grubbs, OG, Auburn - The Bears would obviously need an outside linebacker if Lance Briggs is dealt, but if he stays put, they should focus on shoring up the offensive line. Grubbs is a devastating blocker with a real mean streak, who would fit well in the Bears’ offensive scheme.
32. Indianapolis Colts - Justin Harrell, DT, Tennessee - Harrell’s stock is sky-rocketing lately, so there’s a good chance he won’t be available here. If he is, however, the Colts will waste no time in making him the pick here.
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