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Late polls in Florida: Tie, or Romney lead?

Posted Nov 5, 2012 by William March

Updated Nov 5, 2012 at 12:14 PM

A last-minute Public Policy Polling survey finds President Barack Obama one point ahead of Mitt Romney in Florida—or more accurately, one vote ahead out of more than 900.

“To be more specific, 473 respondents chose Obama and 472 picked Romney,” said PPP’s summary of the results.

PPP notes that it has done four polls in Florida in the last three weeks, each showing a 1-point margin—Obama led twice and Romney twice.

That finding is similar to an NBC/Wall Street Journal/Marist poll showing Obama leading 47-49 percent.

However, it differs from a couple of other late polls.

Mason-Dixon Polling & Research last week found a 6-point Romney lead, 51-45 percent, and a Florida Times-Union poll found a 5-point Romney lead, 52-47 percent.

On the U.S. Senate race, the new PPP poll also found 5-point lead for Democratic incumbent Sen. Bill Nelson over his challenger for re-election, Republican Rep. Connie Mack IV, 51-46 percent.

That finding is more in line with the other polls from late last week—Mason-Dixon gave Nelson a 6-point lead, and the NBC/WSJ/Marist Poll showed a 9-point lead.