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Q poll: Gender gap, economy push Obama to lead in Florida

Posted Mar 28, 2012 by William March

Updated Mar 28, 2012 at 10:45 AM

A large gender gap and a recovering economy are pushing President Barack Obama to a significant lead in Florida over either Mitt Romney or Rick Santorum, according to a new Quinnipiac University poll.

The poll, conducted in the nation’s three largest swing states, found Obama with significant leads in Florida and Ohio, and edging Romney in Pennsylvania with a lead less than the poll’s error margin.

The top line numbers:

Obama 49 percent, Romney 42 percent
Obama 50 percent, Santorum 37 percent.

Obama 47 percent, Romney 41 percent
Obama 47 percent, Santorum 40 percent

Obama 45 percent, Romney 42 percent
Obama 48 percent, Santorum 41 percent

The numbers, in Florida and the other states, were Obama’s best showing in a Quinnipiac poll in this election cycle, said Quinnipiac pollster Peter Brown. Two months ago, he said, Obama and Romney were in a statistical tie in Ohio and Florida.

“The biggest reason for the president’s improving prospects probably is the economy.  Roughly six in 10 voters in all three states think the economy is recovering.  Moreover, voters blame the oil companies and oil-producing countries for the rise in gasoline prices and only about one in six voters blame them on President Obama,” he said.

Women voters drove Obama’s lead.

In Florida, Obama led Romney by 52-38 percent among women voters, while Romney led 47-45 percent among men. Obama led Santorum 53-34 percent among women voters, and 46-39 percent among men.

The poll included interviews with 1,228 Florida voters March 20-26, with a margin of error of 2.8 percentage points.

Check here for a summary of the poll findings and a link to the state-by-state crosstabs.

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