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Poll: Marriage Amendment Falling Short
Posted Oct 23, 2008 by Catherine Dolinski
Updated Oct 23, 2008 at 12:40 PM
A majority of Floridians support the so-called Marriage Protection Amendment appearing on the fall presidential election ballot – but not enough to hit the 60-percent threshold required to change the Florida Constitution, a new poll shows today.
Fifty-six percent of likely voters said they would approve Amendment 2, which would define marriage as a union between one man and one woman only, according to survey results released this morning by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research. Thirty-seven percent said they would vote no, and 7 percent were undecided.
Those results closely resemble the 55 percent to 34 percent split that Mason-Dixon pollsters recorded two weeks ago.
The margin of error for today’s poll is no more than 4 percentage points, plus or minus.
The pollsters surveyed 625 registered voters by telephone Monday through Tuesday. All respondents said they were likely to vote in the general election Nov. 4.
Support was lower for Amendments 4 and 6, but pollster Brad Coker said they still could pass given the high number of undecided voters. Forty-three percent said they would vote for Amendment 4, a tax exemption for dedicating land for conservation purposes. Twenty-two percent said they oppose it, and the rest were unsure.
Amendment 6 would require property appraisers to assess the value of waterfront property used for commercial fishing purposes based on the current use, not the value if redeveloped. Forty-five percent support the measure; 19 percent oppose it; and the rest are undecided. That’s a jump in support from two weeks ago, when Mason-Dixon found that 33 percent said they would vote yes.
In his report, Coker says Amendment 8 is “going down.” That proposal, allowing a local-option sales tax to support community colleges, has more opposition – 47 percent—than support, 38 percent.
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Reader Comments
Por (Politically Incorrect) on October 23, 2008 (Suggest removal)
I am not buying it. The right wing nutjobs will bombard their flocks in church the next two weekends and scare them into believing what a few narrow minded, biggoted, homophobic and misogynistic cretans believe.
Suggest removalThis will pass because it makes logical and humanistic sense for it to not pass- But Florida has never been known to be logical, humanistic or even realistic when it comes to voting on social issues which the right wing has hijacked and lumped into two categories: Abortion and Homosexuality.
Por (Pam Carlson) on October 23, 2008 (Suggest removal)
Anyone out there ever been “polled”. Nobody has ever called me or polled me nor anyone I know either. Where in the world is any of this information coming from? I belive the media is making up stuff…ok they polled their family and these are the numbers…..
Suggest removalPor (Mitchel Banks) on October 23, 2008 (Suggest removal)
Polls generally come up with what they want to come up, they are rarely acurate.
Suggest removalPor (Denny Crane) on October 23, 2008 (Suggest removal)
I have posed the following questions and challanges over and over but no one has chosen to reply. I wonder why? I will post them again to see if I can get a reply.
To all of you bible thumpers out there who think you are good people just because you read the bible could you possibly prove to me in a logical way that the bible is not a work of fiction, written by man and re written over and over by every king who came into power? Could you tell me how man came into possession of the bible. Did God, any God drop it down a chute from the heavens and somebody caught it? Please, someone prove this.
Continued.
Suggest removalPor (Denny Crane) on October 23, 2008 (Suggest removal)
Continued from above
Secondly can somebody tell me how same sex people being married has affected them personally?No religious answers here. I would like to know, in the real world, how have you been affected by two people of the same sex being married.
Has it affected you financially? Has your house been destroyed by God’s wrath? Has a same sex married couple harrassed you? Prevented you from going to work? If you are a carpenter, plumber, landscaper or other on call worker would you refuse to take a same sex couples money to do a big job?
If only someone could answer these two questions with a LOGICAL answer maybe I might change my position on my vote which is NO at this point
Suggest removalPor (mark mccarthy) on October 25, 2008 (Suggest removal)
I’m not sure how it will work out in the next two weeks. I think the deciding factor will be the under-informed voters. This article has a few good points on that and the alternate reasons for strong GOP backing of the bill: http://www.associatedcontent.com/article/1134750/subtle_complexities_endanger_floridas.html?cat=9
Suggest removalPor (R. C. Phillips) on November 03, 2008 (Suggest removal)
Mr. Crane,
Suggest removalDont be such a sarcastic person with the BIBLE talk. That is why there are MEN and There are WOMEN. If God wanted
the same sex to marry then he would have only created all men or all women.
One day people will see what will happen. Maybe alot more people need to read Revelation in the bible and you will see what it is all about.